An indefinite cash flow payment
Perpetuity in the financial system is a situation where a stream of cash flow payments continues indefinitely or is an annuity that has no end. In valuation analysis, perpetuities are used to find the present value of a company’s future projected cash flow stream and the company’s terminal value. Essentially, a perpetuity is a series of cash flows that keep paying out forever.
Although the total value of a perpetuity is infinite, it comes with a limited present value. The present value of an infinite stream of cash flow is calculated by adding up the discounted values of each annuity and the decrease of the discounted annuity value in each period until it reaches close to zero.
An analyst uses the finite present value of perpetuity to determine the exact value of a company if it continues to perform at the same rate.
Although perpetuity is somewhat theoretical (can anything really last forever?), classic examples include businesses, real estate, and certain types of bonds.
One example of a perpetuity is the UK’s government bond known as a Consol. Bondholders will receive annual fixed coupons (interest payments) as long as they hold the amount and the government does not discontinue the Consol.
The second example is in the real-estate sector when an owner purchases a property and then rents it out. The owner is entitled to an infinite stream of cash flow from the renter as long as the property continues to exist (assuming the renter continues to rent).
Another real-life example is preferred stock, where the perpetuity calculation assumes the company will continue to exist indefinitely in the market and keep paying dividends.
Here is the formula:
Where:
Company “Rich” pays $2 in dividends annually and estimates that they will pay the dividends indefinitely. How much are investors willing to pay for the dividend with a required rate of return of 5%?
PV = 2/5% = $40
An investor will consider investing in the company if the stock price is $40 or less.
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Formula:
Where:
Taking the above example, imagine if the $2 dividend is expected to grow annually by 2%.
PV = $2 / (5 – 2%) = $66.67
The growth model is important for some terminal value calculations in the discounted cash flow model. The last, or terminal year, in the DCF model will be assumed to grow at a constant rate forever. This, in essence, means that the terminal year cash flow is a continuous stream of cash flow.
Thank you for reading this guide to perpetuities. To help on your journey, these additional CFI resources will be helpful: